Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.188835 0.212924 0.238340 0.267097 0.298674 0.332233 0.370538
2025-06-01 0.155274 0.187532 0.223465 0.266265 0.315649 0.370636 0.436272
2025-06-08 0.130919 0.167975 0.211250 0.265102 0.329873 0.404803 0.497545
2025-06-15 0.115636 0.156559 0.206376 0.270762 0.350984 0.446812 0.569020
2025-06-22 0.100997 0.143860 0.198107 0.270709 0.364115 0.478941 0.629309
2025-06-29 0.088991 0.132956 0.190650 0.270382 0.375983 0.509184 0.687760
2025-07-06 0.079006 0.123509 0.183933 0.269960 0.386977 0.538065 0.744941
2025-07-13 0.071819 0.117084 0.180498 0.273252 0.402473 0.572816 0.810437
2025-07-20 0.066853 0.113271 0.180182 0.280466 0.423191 0.614822 0.886545
2025-07-27 0.061034 0.107525 0.176491 0.282386 0.436301 0.646697 0.949796
2025-08-03 0.057069 0.104207 0.175984 0.288633 0.455473 0.687200 1.025733
2025-08-10 0.053804 0.101649 0.176323 0.295942 0.476228 0.730333 1.106352
2025-08-17 0.048515 0.095377 0.170642 0.294072 0.483840 0.755789 1.164060
2025-08-24 0.044088 0.090105 0.166092 0.293545 0.493238 0.783934 1.226292
2025-08-31 0.040035 0.085055 0.161465 0.292491 0.501594 0.810630 1.287050
2025-09-07 0.037726 0.082915 0.161465 0.298747 0.521306 0.854485 1.373792
2025-09-14 0.034569 0.078849 0.157841 0.298755 0.531073 0.883647 1.439602
2025-09-21 0.031673 0.074967 0.154207 0.298435 0.540138 0.911837 1.504537
2025-09-28 0.029041 0.071316 0.150677 0.297998 0.548840 0.939551 1.569303
2025-10-05 0.027205 0.069091 0.149552 0.301581 0.564143 0.977776 1.650840
2025-10-12 0.026065 0.068212 0.150840 0.309414 0.586703 1.027872 1.751683
2025-10-19 0.024302 0.065789 0.149005 0.311501 0.599583 1.062937 1.830055
2025-10-26 0.023216 0.064755 0.149762 0.318278 0.620605 1.111444 1.930395